Brandon Aiyuk
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LV Settled: Miss
Matt Gay Over 5.5 Kicking Points vs. 49ers
The bet: Over 5.5 kicking points
You checked 5.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
LV@SF Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 5.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 9.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 5.5 kicking points lost.
Final: 5.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 6
- 11
- 13
- 5
- 12
- 9
- 8
Kicking Points per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
9.1vs 5.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matt Gay kicking points over the last 7 games versus a line of 5.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 5.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Kicking Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @NYJ | Hit | 8 |
| Oct 25 | vsLA | Hit | 9 |
| Oct 18 | vsBUF | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 11 | @NE | Miss | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsKC | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | @NO | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 20 | @LAC | Hit | 6 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Las Vegas Raiders
Your selection
2026 season · 9 games
4–5
Record
26.4
Points / game
29.8
Allowed / game
San Francisco 49ers
2026 season · 8 games
7–1
Record
29.4
Points / game
19.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 5.5 kicking points
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−152
Current
−125
Change
+27
Best available moved from −152 to −125. That pays $14.21 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Levi's Stadium
- Santa Clara, CA · Grass
- Forecast
- 69°F0% precipitationGusts 8 mph
Game-day inactives
San Francisco 49ers
Kurtis Rourke
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · Hamstring ·
Khalid Kareem
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Tatum Bethune
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Enrique Cruz Jr.
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Las Vegas Raiders
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Malik Benson
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Aidan O'Connell
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Dalton Johnson
S · Coach's Decision ·
Thomas Booker IV
DT · Ankle ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- SF -8.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- San Francisco 49ers
- −410
- Las Vegas Raiders
- +320
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- San Francisco 49ers
- 84%
- Las Vegas Raiders
- 16%
San Francisco 49ers by 10
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Injury Report Favors Raiders on Paper, but Not Where It Matters Most (opens in a new tab)
The Las Vegas Raiders received encouraging injury news heading into their Week 9 matchup, but one glaring weakness could overshadow their apparent advantage.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- 49ers vs. Raiders injury report: 5 players miss Wednesday's practice (opens in a new tab)
The San Francisco 49ers are preparing for their Week 9 contest against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
San Francisco 49ers
Christian Kirk
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Las Vegas Raiders
Bryce Cabeldue
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matt Gay Over 5.5 kicking points at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matt Gay Over 5.5 kicking points?
Matt Gay hit over 5.5 kicking points in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Matt Gay Over 5.5 kicking points?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.