DeMonte Capehart
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop GB Settled: Hit
The bet: Over 17.5 pass completions
You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 21.5.
Price as of Oct 4, 12:59 PM ET −490 at DraftKings
Opened −495 at DraftKings, closed −490
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jordan Love hit over 17.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 22.
Closing price −490 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 24
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
21.7vs 17.5 line
Based on 3 games
Jordan Love pass completions over the last 3 games versus a line of 17.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 28 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Miss | 16 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 21 |
Closing price: DraftKings −490 · 10¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 4, 12:59 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
21.2
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
1–5
Record
19.8
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−495
Current
−490
Change
+5
Best available moved from −495 to −490. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Billy Schrauth
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ko Kieft
TE · Elbow ·
Baker Mayfield
QB · Thumb ·
Benjamin Morrison
CB · Quadriceps ·
Luke Haggard
G · Coach's Decision ·
Green Bay Packers
Kevin Zeitler
G · Coach's Decision ·
Jacob Monk
C · Quadriceps ·
Aaron Banks
G · Toe ·
Anthony Campbell
DT · Ankle ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Green Bay Packers by 4.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Bucs elevate Easton Stick to be backup QB vs. Packers The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeMonte Capehart
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Jalen McMillan
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jayden Reed
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Micah Parsons
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Jordan Love hit over 17.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%). Last seen is −490 at DraftKings.
Jordan Love hit over 17.5 pass completions in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
−490 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Jordan Love Over 17.5 pass completions.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.