A.J. Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LV Settled: Miss
Kirk Cousins Over 21.5 Pass Completions vs. Patriots
The bet: Over 21.5 pass completions
You checked 21.5, an alternate line. Most books: 22.5.
LV@NE Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 21.5 pass completions lost.
Final: 19.
Hit rate vs the line
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 21
- 19
- 22
- 31
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
23.3vs 21.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Kirk Cousins pass completions over the last 4 games versus a line of 21.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 21.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsKC | Hit | 31 |
| Sep 27 | @NO | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 20 | @LAC | Miss | 19 |
| Sep 13 | vsMIA | Miss | 21 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Las Vegas Raiders
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
26.1
Points / game
28.1
Allowed / game
New England Patriots
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
22.9
Points / game
20.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 21.5 pass completions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−108
Current
−118
Change
−10
Best available moved from −108 to −118. That pays $7.84 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Las Vegas Raiders get both good and bad news just days before their matchup against the New England Patriots (opens in a new tab)
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New England Patriots
Behren Morton
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Las Vegas Raiders
Aidan O'Connell
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Dalton Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kirk Cousins Over 21.5 pass completions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kirk Cousins Over 21.5 pass completions?
Kirk Cousins hit over 21.5 pass completions in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Kirk Cousins Over 21.5 pass completions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.