Davante Adams
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Miss
Matthew Stafford Over 21.5 Pass Completions vs. Chargers
The bet: Over 21.5 pass completions
You checked 21.5, an alternate line. Most books: 23.5.
LAC@LAR Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 21.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 10 to Oct 25L7 average 26.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 21.5 pass completions lost.
Final: 17.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- 15
- 22
- 30
- 32
- 40
- 25
- 23
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
26.7vs 21.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matthew Stafford pass completions over the last 7 games versus a line of 21.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 21.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Hit | 40 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 32 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 30 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 15 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 season · 8 games
0–8
Record
15.1
Points / game
27.4
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Rams
Your selection
2026 season · 9 games
5–4
Record
23.8
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 21.5 pass completions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−153
Current
−160
Change
−7
Best available moved from −153 to −160. That pays $2.86 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Inglewood, CA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 72°F34% precipitationGusts 28 mph
Game-day inactives
Los Angeles Rams
Joe Cardona
LS · Ankle ·
Ty Simpson
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Colby Parkinson
TE · Ribs ·
Keagen Trost
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Bill Murray
G · Coach's Decision ·
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Theo Wease Jr.
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Deane Leonard
CB · Concussion ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- LAR -6.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- Los Angeles Rams
- −285
- Los Angeles Chargers
- +230
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Los Angeles Rams
- 74%
- Los Angeles Chargers
- 25%
Los Angeles Rams by 6.6
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Chloe Kim weighs in on boyfriend Myles Garrett’s injury (opens in a new tab)
Chloe Kim, the girlfriend of Rams star Myles Garrett, weighed in on how he is recovering after suffering an injury. Los Angeles Rams star Myles Garrett has played just one game this season after coming over in a blockbuster trade with the Cleveland Browns.
Los Angeles Rams star Myles Garrett has played just one game this season after coming over in a blockbuster trade with the Cleveland Browns.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
Desjuan Johnson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Los Angeles Chargers
Denzel Perryman
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Derwin James Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Stafford Over 21.5 pass completions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Stafford Over 21.5 pass completions?
Matthew Stafford hit over 21.5 pass completions in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Matthew Stafford Over 21.5 pass completions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.