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NFL player prop KC Pending

Today's check

Patrick Mahomes Over 21.5 Pass Completions

The bet: Over 21.5 pass completions

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 21.5 in 3 of his last 7

3of7(43%)

Last 7 gamesSep 14 to Nov 1L7 average 22.0

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

Hit rate vs the line

3of7

(43%)

Sep 14 – Nov 1

  1. 15
  2. 32
  3. 20
  4. 15
  5. 23
  6. 19
  7. 30

Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

22.0vs 21.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Patrick Mahomes pass completions over the last 7 games versus a line of 21.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 21.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultPass Completions
Nov 1@DEN
Hit
30
Oct 25@SEA
Miss
19
Oct 18vsLAC
Hit
23
Oct 4@LV
Miss
15
Sep 27@MIA
Miss
20
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
32
Sep 14vsDEN
Miss
15

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Patrick Mahomes

Completions per game

Season · 7 games

22

NYJ PASS RUSH

2.4sacks/game by NYJ defense

Last 5 games

NYJ · COMPLETIONS

18.2per game

2026 regular seasonL5

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

Research refreshed

Latest sourced reports

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Kansas City Chiefs

Peter Woods

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

New York Jets

Garrett Wilson

out

Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Joseph Ossai

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 21.5 pass completions at this number?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 21.5 pass completions in 3 of his last 7 tracked games (43%). Best price is −112 at BetRivers.

What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 21.5 pass completions?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 21.5 pass completions in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).

What is the best price for Patrick Mahomes Over 21.5 pass completions?

−112 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Patrick Mahomes Over 21.5 pass completions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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