Blake Fisher
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop HOU Final · result not graded yet
The bet: Under 21.5 pass completions
Price as of Oct 25, 12:05 PM ET −120 at BetMGM
Opened +100 at DraftKings, closed −120
2 of 6 decided (33%) · this season
Verified facts
C.J. Stroud hit under 21.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 6 tracked games (33%).
Showing saved research.
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Closing price −120 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | Dallas Cowboys | Under 21.5 pass completions | 21 pass completions | −115 | hit |
2of6
(33%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
23.8vs 21.5 line
Based on 6 games
C.J. Stroud pass completions over the last 6 games versus a line of 21.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsJAX(neutral) | Miss | 24 |
| Oct 11 | @TEN | Miss | 26 |
| Oct 4 | vsDAL | Hit | 21 |
| Sep 27 | @IND | Hit | 16 |
| Sep 20 | vsCIN | Miss | 30 |
| Sep 13 | vsBUF | Miss | 26 |
Closing price: BetMGM −120 · 15¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 25, 12:05 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −122
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
NYG PASS RUSH
1.6sacks allowed/game
Last 5 games
NYG · COMPLETIONS
19.8per game
2026 regular seasonL5
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+100
Current
−120
Change
−20
Best available moved from +100 to −120. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Houston Texans
Nate Thomas
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Marlin Klein
TE · Coach's Decision ·
David Montgomery
RB · Groin ·
Febechi Nwaiwu
G · Coach's Decision ·
Jalen Pitre
S · Shoulder - AC Joint ·
New York Giants
Jake Haener
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Nikko Reed
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Josh Sills
G · Coach's Decision ·
Marcus Mbow
OT · Knee ·
Greg Newsome II
CB · Concussion ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Houston Texans by 10.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Blake Fisher
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jake Hummel
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Jevon Holland
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
C.J. Stroud hit under 21.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 6 tracked games (33%). Last seen is −120 at BetMGM.
C.J. Stroud hit under 21.5 pass completions in 2 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (33% hit rate).
−120 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for C.J. Stroud Under 21.5 pass completions.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.