Kadyn Proctor
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop MIA Pending
Malik Willis Under 16.5 Pass Completions vs. Patriots
The bet: Under 16.5 pass completions
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 15.5.
NE@MIA Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 15
- 14
- 20
- 9
- 15
- 14
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
14.5vs 16.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Malik Willis pass completions over the last 6 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @NYJ | Hit | 14 |
| Oct 11 | vsCIN | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 4 | @MIN | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 27 | vsKC | Miss | 20 |
| Sep 20 | @SF | Hit | 14 |
| Sep 13 | @LV | Hit | 15 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Malik Willis
- Completions per game
- 14.5
Season · 6 games
New England Patriots
NE PASS RUSH
2.2sacks/game by NE defense
Last 5 games
NE · COMPLETIONS
21.8per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Game
Rest
+3days rest, NE
MIA 7, NE 10Divisional game
Market movement
Price history
Under 16.5 pass completions
Best price
Odds format
Open
−107
Current
−113
Change
−6
Best available moved from −107 to −113. That pays $4.96 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Miami Gardens, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 78°F71% precipitationGusts 13 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- NE -7
- Game total
- 41.5
- Miami Dolphins
- +245
- New England Patriots
- −305
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Miami Dolphins
- 20%
- New England Patriots
- 80%
New England Patriots by 8.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- New England Patriots Announce Brutal Last-Second Injury News (opens in a new tab)
The New England Patriots ruled out wide receiver A.J. Brown and running back TreVeyon Henderson for Sunday’s game against the Miami Dolphins
The New England Patriots ruled out wide receiver A.J. Brown and running back TreVeyon Henderson for Sunday’s game against the Miami Dolphins
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Miami Dolphins
JuJu Brents
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
New England Patriots
A.J. Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Marcus Bryant
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Malik Willis Under 16.5 pass completions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Malik Willis Under 16.5 pass completions?
Malik Willis hit under 16.5 pass completions in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.