Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Miss
The bet: Under 18.5 pass completions
You checked 18.5, an alternate line. Most books: 19.5.
Price as of Oct 14, 10:45 AM ET +105 at DraftKings
Opened +100 at DraftKings, closed +105
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Sam Darnold hit under 18.5 pass completions in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 27.
Closing price +105 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
15.8vs 18.5 line
Based on 4 games
Sam Darnold pass completions over the last 4 games versus a line of 18.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 31 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 1 |
Closing price: DraftKings +105 · 5¢ better than BetMGM
Prices as of Oct 14, 10:45 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −136
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+100
Current
+105
Change
+5
Best available moved from +100 to +105. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Sam Darnold hit under 18.5 pass completions in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is +105 at DraftKings.
Sam Darnold hit under 18.5 pass completions in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
+105 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Sam Darnold Under 18.5 pass completions.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.