DeMonte Capehart
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop GB Settled: Miss
Jordan Love Over 279.5 Pass + Rush Yards vs. Buccaneers
The bet: Over 279.5 pass + rush yards
You checked 279.5, an alternate line. Most books: 245.5.
GB@TB Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 279.5 pass + rush yards lost.
Final: 189.
Hit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 24
- 387
- 145
- 312
Pass + Rush Yards per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
281.3vs 279.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Jordan Love pass + rush yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 279.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 279.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass + Rush Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 312 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Miss | 145 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 387 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Green Bay Packers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.7
Allowed / game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
21.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 279.5 pass + rush yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+167
Current
+186
Change
+19
Best available moved from +167 to +186. That pays $19.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Tampa, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 87°F49% precipitationGusts 10 mph
Game-day inactives
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Billy Schrauth
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ko Kieft
TE · Elbow ·
Baker Mayfield
QB · Thumb ·
Benjamin Morrison
CB · Quadriceps ·
Luke Haggard
G · Coach's Decision ·
Green Bay Packers
Kevin Zeitler
G · Coach's Decision ·
Jacob Monk
C · Quadriceps ·
Aaron Banks
G · Toe ·
Anthony Campbell
DT · Ankle ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- GB -3
- Game total
- 38.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- +130
- Green Bay Packers
- −155
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 32%
- Green Bay Packers
- 68%
Green Bay Packers by 4.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Bucs elevate Easton Stick to be backup QB vs. Packers (opens in a new tab)
Bucs elevate Easton Stick to be backup QB vs. Packers The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Green Bay Packers
Jayden Reed
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Micah Parsons
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jordan Love Over 279.5 pass + rush yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jordan Love Over 279.5 pass + rush yards?
Jordan Love hit over 279.5 pass + rush yards in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jordan Love Over 279.5 pass + rush yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.