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Caleb Williams Over 0.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 0.5 passing tds
You checked 0.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
Cleared 0.5 in 4 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 2L5 average 1.2
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 0.5 passing tds | 1 passing tds | −425 | hit |
| Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET | Minnesota Vikings | Over 0.5 passing tds | 0 passing tds | −650 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
4of5
(80%)
Sep 13 – Nov 2
- 2
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 1
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
1.2vs 0.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Caleb Williams passing tds over the last 5 games versus a line of 0.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 2 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Caleb Williams
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 1.2
Season · 5 games
Caleb Williams
WILLIAMS · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
22.4per game
2026 regular season5 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB allows
1.3pass TDs allowed/game to QBs
T-8th fewest (L4: T-6th fewest)8 games
TB PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by TB defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
−900
Current
−900
Change
0
Best available moved from −900 to −900. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds?
Caleb Williams hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.