A.J. Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop NE Settled: Hit
Drake Maye Over 2.5 Passing TDs vs. Raiders
The bet: Over 2.5 passing tds
You checked 2.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
LV@NE Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 2.5 passing tds won.
Final: 4.
Hit rate vs the line
1of4
(25%)
Sep 9 – Oct 4
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 3
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
1.0vs 2.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Drake Maye passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 2.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @BUF | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | @JAX | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vsPIT | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 9 | @SEA | Miss | 1 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Las Vegas Raiders
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
26.1
Points / game
28.1
Allowed / game
New England Patriots
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
22.9
Points / game
20.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 2.5 passing tds
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+360
Current
+350
Change
−10
Best available moved from +360 to +350. That pays $10.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Las Vegas Raiders get both good and bad news just days before their matchup against the New England Patriots (opens in a new tab)
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New England Patriots
Behren Morton
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Las Vegas Raiders
Aidan O'Connell
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Dalton Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Drake Maye Over 2.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Drake Maye Over 2.5 passing tds?
Drake Maye hit over 2.5 passing tds in 1 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (25% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Drake Maye Over 2.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.