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Joe Burrow Over 2.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 2.5 passing tds
Cleared 2.5 in 4 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 2.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET | Atlanta Falcons | Over 2.5 passing tds | 3 passing tds | +165 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 1
- 4
- 4
- 5
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.9vs 2.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Joe Burrow passing tds over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsTEN | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 25 | @BAL | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @MIA | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 4 | vsJAX | Miss | 1 |
| Sep 27 | @PIT | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | @HOU | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsTB | Miss | 1 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Team comparison
Pittsburgh Steelers
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
22.5
Points / game
18
Allowed / game
Cincinnati Bengals
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
29.4
Points / game
22.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
News and availability
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Joe Burrow Over 2.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Joe Burrow Over 2.5 passing tds?
Joe Burrow hit over 2.5 passing tds in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.