NFL player prop LAR Pending
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Matthew Stafford Over 2.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 2.5 passing tds
You checked 2.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 2.5 passing tds | 3 passing tds | +130 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- 0
- 4
- 2
- 0
- 3
- 2
- 3
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.0vs 2.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matthew Stafford passing tds over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Matthew Stafford
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 2
Season · 7 games
Matthew Stafford
STAFFORD · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
26.7per game
2026 regular season7 games
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by LAC defense
Last 5 games
LAC · PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.2per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Open
+220
Current
+245
Change
+25
Best available moved from +220 to +245. That pays $25.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Stafford Over 2.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Stafford Over 2.5 passing tds?
Matthew Stafford hit over 2.5 passing tds in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.