Davante Adams
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LAR Pending
Upcoming check
Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 4.5 passing tds
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
LAC@LAR Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 4.5 passing tds | 3 passing tds | +1400 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
0of7
(0%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- 0
- 4
- 2
- 0
- 3
- 2
- 3
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matthew Stafford passing tds over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Matthew Stafford
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 2
Season · 7 games
Matthew Stafford
STAFFORD · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
26.7per game
2026 regular season7 games
STAFFORD · POSITION
QB
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by LAC defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 4.5 passing tds
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
+1300
Current
+2300
Change
+1000
Best available moved from +1300 to +2300. That pays $1,000.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chloe Kim weighs in on boyfriend Myles Garrett’s injury (opens in a new tab)
Chloe Kim, the girlfriend of Rams star Myles Garrett, weighed in on how he is recovering after suffering an injury. Los Angeles Rams star Myles Garrett has played just one game this season after coming over in a blockbuster trade with the Cleveland Browns.
Los Angeles Rams star Myles Garrett has played just one game this season after coming over in a blockbuster trade with the Cleveland Browns.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
Myles Garrett
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Los Angeles Chargers
Denzel Perryman
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Derwin James Jr.
doubtful
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 passing tds?
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 7 games across the last 7 games (0% hit rate).
What is the best price for Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.