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NFL player prop KC Pending

Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Broncos

The bet: Over 1.5 passing tds

KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

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All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

4of6

(67%)

Sep 14 – Oct 25

  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 2
  4. 2
  5. 0
  6. 0

Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest

L6 average

1.5vs 1.5 line

Based on 6 games

Game results

Patrick Mahomes passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

L6
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L6, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing TDs
Oct 25@SEA
Miss
0
Oct 18vsLAC
Miss
0
Oct 4@LV
Hit
2
Sep 27@MIA
Hit
2
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
3
Sep 14vsDEN
Hit
2

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Patrick Mahomes

Passing touchdowns per game

Season · 6 games

1.5

Patrick Mahomes

MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

20.7per game

2026 regular season6 games

Denver Broncos

DEN PASS RUSH

3.4sacks/game by DEN defense

Last 5 games

DEN · PASSING TOUCHDOWNS

1.2per game

2026 regular seasonL5

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

News check is unavailable right now.

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds at this number?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%). Last seen is +163 at DraftKings.

What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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