Josh Hayes
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop TB Final · result not graded yet
Baker Mayfield Under 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Falcons
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
ATL@TB Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 1.5 in 4 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L4 average 0.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Final · result not graded yet
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Hit rate vs the line
4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 1
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
0.8vs 1.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Baker Mayfield passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @CAR | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vsMIN | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vsCLE | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | @CIN | Hit | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Atlanta Falcons
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
21.4
Points / game
23.6
Allowed / game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
22.2
Points / game
18.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 1.5 passing tds
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−141
Current
−151
Change
−10
Best available moved from −141 to −151. That pays $4.69 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Tampa, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 80°F66% precipitationGusts 17 mph
Game-day inactives
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Billy Schrauth
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ayden Garnes
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Luke Haggard
G · Coach's Decision ·
DeMonte Capehart
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Emeka Egbuka
WR · Foot ·
Atlanta Falcons
Divine Deablo
LB · Forearm ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- TB -2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- −130
- Atlanta Falcons
- +110
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 69%
- Atlanta Falcons
- 31%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 5.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Baker Mayfield gets assist from the Rays for his injury return (opens in a new tab)
Baker Mayfield was back in action for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, and he got an assist from the Tampa Bay Rays to make it possible.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
- Buccaneers' Emeka Egbuka out with foot injury for Week 8 (opens in a new tab)
Buccaneers' Emeka Egbuka out with foot injury for Week 8 Egbuka was not spotted at Friday's practice and was ruled out for the Bucs' matchup in Week 8 against the Atlanta Falcons.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Graham Barton
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Atlanta Falcons
Anterio Thompson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Beaux Collins
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Baker Mayfield Under 1.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Baker Mayfield Under 1.5 passing tds?
Baker Mayfield hit under 1.5 passing tds in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Baker Mayfield Under 1.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.