Amani Hooker
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop HOU Settled: Hit
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
Price as of Oct 11, 12:55 PM ET −140 at BetMGM
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
C.J. Stroud hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 1.
Closing price −140 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Tennessee Titans | 1.5 | −135 | hit |
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.3vs 1.5 line
Based on 4 games
C.J. Stroud passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsDAL | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @IND | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vsCIN | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsBUF | Miss | 2 |
Closing price: BetMGM −140 · 25¢ better than FanDuel
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:55 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +121
Over +115
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
24
Points / game
23.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
1–5
Record
14
Points / game
21.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−149
Current
−140
Change
+9
Best available moved from −149 to −140. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Amani Hooker
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Aiden Fisher
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Braden Smith
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
C.J. Stroud hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%). Last seen is −140 at BetMGM.
C.J. Stroud hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
−140 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for C.J. Stroud Under 1.5 passing tds.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.