Joseph Ossai
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop NYJ Settled: Miss
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
Price as of Oct 25, 11:09 AM ET −137 at DraftKings
Opened −136 at FanDuel, closed −137
5 of 6 decided (83%) · this season
Verified facts
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price −137 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.2vs 1.5 line
Based on 6 games
Geno Smith passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @NE | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 11 | vsCLE | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | @CHI | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 27 | @DET | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 20 | vsGB | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | @TEN | Hit | 0 |
Closing price: DraftKings −137 · 38¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 25, 11:09 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +110
Over +105
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
SMITH · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
20.3per game
2026 regular season6 games
MIA PASS RUSH
0.8sacks allowed/game
Last 5 games
Rest
+7days rest, MIA
NYJ 7, MIA 14Divisional game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−136
Current
−137
Change
−1
Best available moved from −136 to −137. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Pregame research captured
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
New York Jets by 4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Joseph Ossai
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Kiko Mauigoa
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Reese Taylor
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Robert Beal Jr.
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%). Last seen is −137 at DraftKings.
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
−137 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Geno Smith Under 1.5 passing tds.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.