Drake Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop ATL Settled: Miss
Passing TDs
Under 1.5 passing tds
3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 18, 12:48 PM ET −112 at BetRivers
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Michael Penix Jr. hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
3of3
(100%)
Sep 24 – Oct 11
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.0vs 1.5 line
Based on 3 games
Michael Penix Jr. passing tds over the last 3 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsBAL | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 5 | @NO | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 24 | @GB | Hit | 1 |
Closing price: BetRivers −112 · 23¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 18, 12:48 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +100
Over −115
Game context
Michael Penix Jr.: 1.5 passing touchdowns average (4 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
25
Points / game
19.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
23.7
Points / game
25.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−130
Current
−112
Change
+18
Best available moved from −130 to −112. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
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Jack Strand
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Ethan Onianwa
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Christian Harris
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C.J. Henderson
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Chicago Bears
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QB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.
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ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Chicago Bears by 4.2
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)it appears that Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is ready to return to action.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Drake Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Anthony Johnson Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Dayo Odeyingbo
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Michael Penix Jr. hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Michael Penix Jr. hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
−112 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Michael Penix Jr. Under 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.