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Caleb Williams Over 249.5 Passing Yards
The bet: Over 249.5 passing yards
You checked 249.5, an alternate line. Most books: 245.5.
Cleared 249.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 2L5 average 253.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 249.5 passing yards | 247 passing yards | +158 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Nov 2
- 269
- 138
- 305
- 308
- 247
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
253.4vs 249.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Caleb Williams passing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 249.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Miss | 247 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 308 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 305 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 138 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 269 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Caleb Williams
- Passing yards per game
- 253.4
Season · 5 games
Caleb Williams
WILLIAMS · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
22.4per game
2026 regular season5 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB allows
220.1pass yds allowed/game to QBs
9th fewest (L4: 9th fewest)8 games
TB PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by TB defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
−118
Current
−102
Change
+16
Best available moved from −118 to −102. That pays $13.29 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 249.5 passing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 249.5 passing yards?
Caleb Williams hit over 249.5 passing yards in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.