DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DAL Pending
Upcoming check
The bet: Over 266.5 passing yards
You checked 266.5, an alternate line. Most books: 269.5.
Price as of Oct 24, 10:16 PM ET −115 at BetMGM · Updating prices...
Opened −112 at DraftKings, last seen −115
4 of 6 decided (67%) · this season
Verified facts
Dak Prescott averaged 292.8 passing yards across 5 stored games, above the 266.5 line. He had 42.4 pass attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Philadelphia Eagles allowed 253.8 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Over 266.5 passing yards | 316 passing yards | −112 | hit |
4of6
(67%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
273.2vs 266.5 line
Based on 6 games
Dak Prescott passing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 266.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @GB | Miss | 258 |
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Hit | 316 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 335 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 276 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 279 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Miss | 175 |
Price as of Oct 24, 10:16 PM ET: BetMGM −115
Prices as of Oct 24, 10:16 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
PRESCOTT · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
27.2per game
2026 regular season6 games
PRESCOTT · PASS ATTEMPTS PER GAME
41per game
2026 regular season6 games
PHI PASS RUSH
1.4sacks allowed/game
Last 5 games
Open
−112
Current
−115
Change
−3
Best available moved from −112 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Research refreshed
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Dallas Cowboys by 5.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Dak Prescott hit over 266.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%). Last seen is −115 at BetMGM.
Dak Prescott hit over 266.5 passing yards in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.