Albert Reese IV
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop DET Settled: Hit
Jared Goff Over 209.5 Passing Yards vs. Panthers
The bet: Over 209.5 passing yards
You checked 209.5, an alternate line. Most books: 258.5.
DET@CAR Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 209.5 passing yards won.
Final: 412.
Hit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 206
- 327
- 269
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
267.3vs 209.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Jared Goff passing yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 209.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 209.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsNYJ | Hit | 269 |
| Sep 17 | @BUF | Hit | 327 |
| Sep 13 | vsNO | Miss | 206 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Detroit Lions
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
30.7
Points / game
27.5
Allowed / game
Carolina Panthers
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
29.2
Points / game
24.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 209.5 passing yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−380
Current
−380
Change
0
Best available moved from −380 to −380. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Carolina Panthers
Cam Jackson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Detroit Lions
Ahmed Hassanein
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Ben Bartch
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jared Goff Over 209.5 passing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jared Goff Over 209.5 passing yards?
Jared Goff hit over 209.5 passing yards in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jared Goff Over 209.5 passing yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.