Beaux Collins
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop CIN Pending
Upcoming check
Joe Burrow Over 249.5 Passing Yards
The bet: Over 249.5 passing yards
You checked 249.5, an alternate line. Most books: 277.5.
CIN@ATL Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
Cleared 249.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 302.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 254
- 207
- 282
- 428
- 190
- 292
- 462
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
302.1vs 249.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Joe Burrow passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 249.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 249.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsTEN | Hit | 462 |
| Oct 25 | @BAL | Hit | 292 |
| Oct 11 | @MIA | Miss | 190 |
| Oct 4 | vsJAX | Hit | 428 |
| Sep 27 | @PIT | Hit | 282 |
| Sep 20 | @HOU | Miss | 207 |
| Sep 13 | vsTB | Hit | 254 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Joe Burrow
- Passing yards per game
- 302.1
Season · 7 games
Joe Burrow
BURROW · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
27.9per game
2026 regular season7 games
Atlanta Falcons
ATL allows
237.5pass yds allowed/game to QBs
16th most (L4: 7th fewest)8 games
ATL PASS RUSH
2.6sacks/game by ATL defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 249.5 passing yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
−194
Current
−200
Change
−6
Best available moved from −194 to −200. That pays $1.55 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Atlanta Falcons
Brian Robinson Jr.
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Cincinnati Bengals
Cashius Howell
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Cedric Johnson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Joe Burrow Over 249.5 passing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Joe Burrow Over 249.5 passing yards?
Joe Burrow hit over 249.5 passing yards in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 9:30 AM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.