NFL player prop LAR Pending
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Matthew Stafford Over 299.5 Passing Yards
The bet: Over 299.5 passing yards
You checked 299.5, an alternate line. Most books: 248.5.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 299.5 passing yards | 383 passing yards | +150 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- 155
- 327
- 390
- 317
- 383
- 222
- 195
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
284.1vs 299.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matthew Stafford passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 299.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Miss | 195 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Miss | 222 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Hit | 383 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 317 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 390 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 327 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 155 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Matthew Stafford
- Passing yards per game
- 284.1
Season · 7 games
Matthew Stafford
STAFFORD · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
26.7per game
2026 regular season7 games
STAFFORD · PASS ATTEMPTS PER GAME
39.7per game
2026 regular season7 games
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by LAC defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
+270
Current
+320
Change
+50
Best available moved from +270 to +320. That pays $50.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Stafford Over 299.5 passing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Stafford Over 299.5 passing yards?
Matthew Stafford hit over 299.5 passing yards in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.