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NFL player prop KC Pending

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Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 Passing Yards

The bet: Over 249.5 passing yards

You checked 249.5, an alternate line. Most books: 247.5.

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 249.5 in 3 of his last 7

3of7(43%)

Last 7 gamesSep 14 to Nov 1L7 average 256.4

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

Hit rate vs the line

3of7

(43%)

Sep 14 – Nov 1

  1. 184
  2. 382
  3. 246
  4. 225
  5. 272
  6. 165
  7. 321

Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

256.4vs 249.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Patrick Mahomes passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 249.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 249.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing Yards
Nov 1@DEN
Hit
321
Oct 25@SEA
Miss
165
Oct 18vsLAC
Hit
272
Oct 4@LV
Miss
225
Sep 27@MIA
Miss
246
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
382
Sep 14vsDEN
Miss
184

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Patrick Mahomes

Passing yards per game

Season · 7 games

256.4

Patrick Mahomes

MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

22per game

2026 regular season7 games

New York Jets

NYJ allows

208.4pass yds allowed/game to QBs

6th fewest (L4: 8th fewest)8 games

NYJ PASS RUSH

2.4sacks/game by NYJ defense

Last 5 games

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

Research refreshed

Latest sourced reports

  • Justin Tucker: Kansas City Chiefs defend decision to sign kicker to practice squad (opens in a new tab)

    Justin Tucker: Kansas City Chiefs defend decision to sign kicker to practice squad Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid defends the franchise's decision to sign Justin Tucker to its practice squad, stating the kicker has Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has defended the

    Justin Tucker: Kansas City Chiefs defend decision to sign kicker to practice squad Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid defends the franchise's decision to sign Justin Tucker to its practice squad, stating the kicker has Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has defended the

    bbc.co.uk · · Availability report

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Kansas City Chiefs

Mansoor Delane

questionable

Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Nikko Remigio

questionable

Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

New York Jets

Max Mitchell

out

Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards at this number?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 249.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 7 tracked games (43%). Best price is +100 at Fanatics.

What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 249.5 passing yards in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).

What is the best price for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards?

+100 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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