Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SF Settled: Miss
The bet: Over 14.5 longest reception
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 20.5.
Price as of Oct 11, 4:21 PM ET −450 at FanDuel
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
George Kittle hit over 14.5 longest reception in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 13.
Closing price −450 at FanDuel. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | 14.5 | −450 | miss |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | Denver Broncos | 14.5 | −600 | hit |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
30.5vs 14.5 line
Based on 4 games
George Kittle longest reception over the last 4 games versus a line of 14.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 56 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 40 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Miss | 6 |
Closing price: FanDuel −450 · 25¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 11, 4:21 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−475
Current
−450
Change
+25
Best available moved from −475 to −450. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Irv Charles
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Enrique Cruz Jr.
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
James Thompson Jr.
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
George Kittle hit over 14.5 longest reception in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is −450 at FanDuel.
George Kittle hit over 14.5 longest reception in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−450 at FanDuel was the recorded closing price for George Kittle Over 14.5 longest reception.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.