Ben Skowronek
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop PIT Settled: Miss
Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 Longest Reception vs. Browns
The bet: Over 12.5 longest reception
CLE@PIT Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 12.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L7 average 29.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 12.5 longest reception lost.
Final: 0.
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 18
- 26
- 30
- 13
- 80
- 16
- 26
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
29.9vs 12.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaylen Warren longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsNO(neutral) | Hit | 26 |
| Oct 18 | @TB | Hit | 16 |
| Oct 11 | vsIND | Hit | 80 |
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Hit | 30 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 26 |
| Sep 13 | vsATL | Hit | 18 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Cleveland Browns
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.9
Allowed / game
Pittsburgh Steelers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
21.9
Points / game
19.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 12.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−110
Change
+15
Best available moved from −125 to −110. That pays $10.91 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Pittsburgh, PA · Grass
- Forecast
- 65°F0% precipitationGusts 8 mph
Game-day inactives
Pittsburgh Steelers
Doneiko Slaughter
CB · Hamstring ·
Eli Heidenreich
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Will Howard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Brandin Echols
CB · Hamstring ·
Drew Allar
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Cleveland Browns
Taylen Green
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Noah Igbinoghene
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Justin Jefferson
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Parker Brailsford
C · Coach's Decision ·
Audric Estime
RB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- PIT -3.5
- Game total
- 38.5
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- −185
- Cleveland Browns
- +154
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- 66%
- Cleveland Browns
- 34%
Pittsburgh Steelers by 4.2
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Browns got a shot in the arm ahead of facing the Steelers thanks to some great injury news (opens in a new tab)
The Cleveland Browns are getting back a key piece of their defense against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8.
The Cleveland Browns are getting back a key piece of their defense against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
Dillon Gabriel
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Kalia Davis
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 longest reception?
Jaylen Warren hit over 12.5 longest reception in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.