CJ Okoye
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop NYG Settled: Hit
Theo Johnson Over 6.5 Longest Reception vs. Commanders
The bet: Over 6.5 longest reception
WAS@NYG Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 6.5 in 3 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 11L4 average 10.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 6.5 longest reception won.
Final: 8.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
- 9
- 0
- 11
- 21
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
10.3vs 6.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Theo Johnson longest reception over the last 4 games versus a line of 6.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 6.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @WAS | Hit | 21 |
| Oct 4 | vsARI | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 21 | @LA | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsDAL | Hit | 9 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Washington Commanders
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
21.5
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
New York Giants
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
22.8
Points / game
21.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 6.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−105
Change
+25
Best available moved from −130 to −105. That pays $18.32 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New York Giants
J.C. Davis
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Washington Commanders
Athan Kaliakmanis
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Colson Yankoff
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Theo Johnson Over 6.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Theo Johnson Over 6.5 longest reception?
Theo Johnson hit over 6.5 longest reception in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Theo Johnson Over 6.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.