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NFL player prop KC Pending

Today's check

Travis Kelce Over 17.5 Longest Reception

The bet: Over 17.5 longest reception

You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 19.5.

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 17.5 in 6 of his last 7

6of7(86%)

Last 7 gamesSep 14 to Nov 1L7 average 30.0

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

This week's line isn't posted yet

Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.

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Past games

DateOpponentLineActualClosing priceResult
Nov 1, 4:25 PM ETDenver BroncosOver 17.5 longest reception32 longest reception−125hit

Hit rate vs the line

6of7

(86%)

Sep 14 – Nov 1

  1. 59
  2. 18
  3. 48
  4. 10
  5. 24
  6. 19
  7. 32

Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

30.0vs 17.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Travis Kelce longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 17.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 17.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultLongest Reception
Nov 1@DEN
Hit
32
Oct 25@SEA
Hit
19
Oct 18vsLAC
Hit
24
Oct 4@LV
Miss
10
Sep 27@MIA
Hit
48
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
18
Sep 14vsDEN
Hit
59

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Travis Kelce

Longest reception per game

Season · 7 games

30

Travis Kelce

KELCE · TEAM TARGET SHARE

19.4%of team targets

2026 regular season7 games

KELCE · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE

20.5%

2026 regular season7 games

New York Jets

NYJ allows

60.1rec yds allowed/game to TEs

9th most (L4: 8th most)8 games

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

The latest saved updates may be out of date.

Research refreshed

Latest sourced reports

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Kansas City Chiefs

Peter Woods

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

New York Jets

Garrett Wilson

out

Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Joseph Ossai

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Travis Kelce Over 17.5 longest reception at this number?

Travis Kelce hit over 17.5 longest reception in 6 of his last 7 tracked games (86%).

What is the historical hit rate for Travis Kelce Over 17.5 longest reception?

Travis Kelce hit over 17.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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