Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BUF Pending
Today's check
Ty Johnson Over 9.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 9.5 longest reception
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 9.5 in 4 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 27 to Nov 1L5 average 22.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Los Angeles Rams | Over 9.5 longest reception | 40 longest reception | −115 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
4of5
(80%)
Sep 27 – Nov 1
- 29
- 9
- 40
- 14
- 18
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
22.0vs 9.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Ty Johnson longest reception over the last 5 games versus a line of 9.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 9.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsBAL | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 18 | @LV | Hit | 14 |
| Oct 12 | @LA | Hit | 40 |
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 9 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 29 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Ty Johnson
- Longest reception per game
- 22
Season · 5 games
Ty Johnson
JOHNSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
10.9%of team targets
2026 regular season5 games
JOHNSON · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
3rec/game
2026 regular season5 games
Minnesota Vikings
MIN allows
18.4rec yds allowed/game to RBs
3rd fewest (L4: 1st fewest)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 9.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−122
Change
+8
Best available moved from −130 to −122. That pays $5.05 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury Recent stories suggested that the Minnesota Vikings could at least consider making a move to land Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Jauan Jennings
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Joshua Palmer
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Ty Johnson Over 9.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Ty Johnson Over 9.5 longest reception?
Ty Johnson hit over 9.5 longest reception in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.