Alec Pierce
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop IND Pending
Upcoming check
Tyler Warren Over 14.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 14.5 longest reception
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 16.5.
MIA@IND Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 14.5 in 2 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 8L7 average 13.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET | Dallas Cowboys | Over 14.5 longest reception | 13 longest reception | −135 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
2of7
(29%)
Sep 13 – Nov 8
- 9
- 8
- 15
- 13
- 29
- 10
- 13
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
13.9vs 14.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Tyler Warren longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 14.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsDAL | Miss | 13 |
| Nov 1 | @JAX | Miss | 10 |
| Oct 11 | @PIT | Hit | 29 |
| Oct 4 | vsWAS(neutral) | Miss | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsHOU | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 20 | @KC | Miss | 8 |
| Sep 13 | vsBAL | Miss | 9 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Tyler Warren
- Longest reception per game
- 13.9
Season · 7 games
Tyler Warren
WARREN · TEAM TARGET SHARE
23.2%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
WARREN · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
15.4%
2026 regular season7 games
Miami Dolphins
MIA allows
64.4rec yds allowed/game to TEs
8th most (L4: 8th fewest)8 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 14.5 longest reception
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−145
Current
−140
Change
+5
Best available moved from −145 to −140. That pays $2.46 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- What We Know About Dolphins Placing QB Malik Willis On Injured Reserve (opens in a new tab)
The Miami Dolphins placed Malik Willis on injured reserve on Tuesday, sidelining the quarterback for at least four games.
The Miami Dolphins placed Malik Willis on injured reserve on Tuesday, sidelining the quarterback for at least four games.
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Indianapolis Colts
Arden Key
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Miami Dolphins
Darrell Baker Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Malik Willis
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Tyler Warren Over 14.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Tyler Warren Over 14.5 longest reception?
Tyler Warren hit over 14.5 longest reception in 2 of 7 games across the last 7 games (29% hit rate).
What is the best price for Tyler Warren Over 14.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.