Chris Brooks
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop CHI Settled: Miss
D'Andre Swift Under 11.5 Longest Reception vs. Packers
The bet: Under 11.5 longest reception
CHI@GB Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 11.5 in 2 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 4L4 average 14.5
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 11.5 longest reception lost.
Final: 13.
Hit rate vs the line
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 10
- 32
- 4
- 12
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
14.5vs 11.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
D'Andre Swift longest reception over the last 4 games versus a line of 11.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 11.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Miss | 12 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 32 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 10 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Chicago Bears
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
25.7
Points / game
20.4
Allowed / game
Green Bay Packers
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
21.4
Points / game
20.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 11.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−110
Current
−125
Change
−15
Best available moved from −110 to −125. That pays $10.91 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Lambeau Field
- Green Bay, WI · Grass
- Forecast
- 74°F0% precipitationGusts 21 mph
Game-day inactives
Green Bay Packers
Jacob Monk
C · Quadriceps ·
Donovan Jennings
G · Coach's Decision ·
Aaron Banks
G · Toe ·
Anthony Campbell
DT · Ankle ·
Chicago Bears
Ozzy Trapilo
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jamree Kromah
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Jayden Loving
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Kyle Monangai
RB · Toe ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- CHI -1.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- Green Bay Packers
- +105
- Chicago Bears
- −125
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Green Bay Packers
- 43%
- Chicago Bears
- 57%
Chicago Bears by 1.9
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Packers practice reveals telling change on the offensive line, and it hints at what Green Bay wants to do against the Bears (opens in a new tab)
against the Bears on Sunday.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Bears Rule Out RB Monangai, List QB Williams as Questionable (opens in a new tab)
will be without running back Kyle Monangai for Sunday’s matchup against the Green Bay Packers
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Green Bay Packers
Edgerrin Cooper
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Chicago Bears
Anthony Johnson Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Caleb Williams
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about D'Andre Swift Under 11.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for D'Andre Swift Under 11.5 longest reception?
D'Andre Swift hit under 11.5 longest reception in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for D'Andre Swift Under 11.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.