Bill Murray
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Dawson Knox Under 10.5 Longest Reception vs. Rams
The bet: Under 10.5 longest reception
You checked 10.5, an alternate line. Most books: 8.5.
BUF@LAR Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 10.5 longest reception won.
Final: 6.
Hit rate vs the line
4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 7
- 4
- 5
- 8
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
6.0vs 10.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Dawson Knox longest reception over the last 4 games versus a line of 10.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Hit | 7 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Rams
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
24.3
Points / game
22.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 10.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−115
Current
−119
Change
−4
Best available moved from −115 to −119. That pays $2.93 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback (opens in a new tab)
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
CJ Daniels
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Dawson Knox Under 10.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Dawson Knox Under 10.5 longest reception?
Dawson Knox hit under 10.5 longest reception in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Dawson Knox Under 10.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.