DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DAL Pending
Upcoming check
The bet: Under 11.5 longest reception
You checked 11.5, an alternate line. Most books: 10.5.
Price as of Oct 23, 8:14 PM ET −127 at DraftKings · Updating prices...
Opened −127 at DraftKings, last seen −127
4 of 6 decided (67%) · this season
Verified facts
Jake Ferguson hit under 11.5 longest reception in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%).
Showing saved research.
4of6
(67%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
10.7vs 11.5 line
Based on 6 games
Jake Ferguson longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 11.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @GB | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Hit | 11 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Miss | 19 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Miss | 14 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Hit | 6 |
Price as of Oct 23, 8:14 PM ET: DraftKings −127
Prices as of Oct 23, 8:14 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
FERGUSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
10%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
6.7%
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
2.8rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Open
−127
Current
−127
Change
0
Best available moved from −127 to −127. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Research refreshed
Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jake Ferguson hit under 11.5 longest reception in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%). Last seen is −127 at DraftKings.
Jake Ferguson hit under 11.5 longest reception in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.