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NFL player prop IND Pending

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Tyler Warren Under 16.5 Longest Reception

The bet: Under 16.5 longest reception

MIA@IND Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET

Stayed under 16.5 in 6 of his last 7

6of7(86%)

Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 8L7 average 13.9

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

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Past games

DateOpponentLineActualClosing priceResult
Nov 8, 1:00 PM ETDallas CowboysUnder 16.5 longest reception13 longest reception−114hit

Hit rate vs the line

6of7

(86%)

Sep 13 – Nov 8

  1. 9
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 13
  5. 29
  6. 10
  7. 13

Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

13.9vs 16.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Tyler Warren longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 16.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultLongest Reception
Nov 8vsDAL
Hit
13
Nov 1@JAX
Hit
10
Oct 11@PIT
Miss
29
Oct 4vsWAS(neutral)
Hit
13
Sep 27vsHOU
Hit
15
Sep 20@KC
Hit
8
Sep 13vsBAL
Hit
9

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Tyler Warren

Longest reception per game

Season · 7 games

13.9

Tyler Warren

WARREN · TEAM TARGET SHARE

23.2%of team targets

2026 regular season7 games

WARREN · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE

15.4%

2026 regular season7 games

Miami Dolphins

MIA allows

64.4rec yds allowed/game to TEs

8th most (L4: 8th fewest)8 games

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

News check is unavailable right now.

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Tyler Warren Under 16.5 longest reception at this number?

Tyler Warren hit under 16.5 longest reception in 6 of his last 7 tracked games (86%). Last seen is −114 at DraftKings.

What is the historical hit rate for Tyler Warren Under 16.5 longest reception?

Tyler Warren hit under 16.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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