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Aaron Jones Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
The bet: Over 14.5 receiving yards
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 7.5.
Cleared 14.5 in 3 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 12.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 14.5 receiving yards | 4 receiving yards | −186 | miss |
| Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET | Miami Dolphins | Over 14.5 receiving yards | 34 receiving yards | −185 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 0
- 0
- 34
- 34
- 4
- 0
- 18
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
12.9vs 14.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Aaron Jones receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Receiving yards per game
- 12.9
Season · 7 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM TARGET SHARE
11.6%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
JONES · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
2.1rec/game
2026 regular season7 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
44.4rec yds allowed/game to RBs
4th most (L4: 7th most)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
+205
Current
+221
Change
+16
Best available moved from +205 to +221. That pays $16.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
News check is unavailable right now.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 14.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 14.5 receiving yards?
Aaron Jones hit over 14.5 receiving yards in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.