Andrew Billings
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop DET Settled: Hit
The bet: Over 39.5 receiving yards
Price as of Oct 11, 4:17 PM ET +102 at BetRivers
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jahmyr Gibbs averaged 48.6 receiving yards across 5 stored games, above the 39.5 line. He had 6.8 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 56.
Closing price +102 at BetRivers. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
46.8vs 39.5 line
Based on 4 games
Jahmyr Gibbs receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 39.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @CAR | Miss | 31 |
| Sep 27 | vsNYJ | Hit | 65 |
| Sep 17 | @BUF | Hit | 61 |
| Sep 13 | vsNO | Miss | 30 |
Closing price: BetRivers +102
Prices as of Oct 11, 4:17 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
32.8
Points / game
29.6
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
21
Points / game
29.7
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+105
Current
+102
Change
−3
Best available moved from +105 to +102. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
adding veteran offensive lineman Matt Pryor off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Andrew Billings
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Andrew Wingard
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Ahmed Hassanein
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Ben Bartch
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jahmyr Gibbs hit over 39.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%). Last seen is +102 at BetRivers.
Jahmyr Gibbs hit over 39.5 receiving yards in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
+102 at BetRivers was the recorded closing price for Jahmyr Gibbs Over 39.5 receiving yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.