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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
The bet: Over 79.5 receiving yards
You checked 79.5, an alternate line. Most books: 99.5.
Cleared 79.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 2L7 average 123.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Over 79.5 receiving yards | 134 receiving yards | −192 | hit |
| Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET | New England Patriots | Over 79.5 receiving yards | 122 receiving yards | −120 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 20 – Nov 2
- 155
- 128
- 76
- 102
- 134
- 150
- 118
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
123.3vs 79.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 79.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vsCHI | Hit | 118 |
| Oct 25 | vsKC | Hit | 150 |
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 134 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 102 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 76 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 128 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 155 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Receiving yards per game
- 123.1
Season · 8 games
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM TARGET SHARE
35.7%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
51.7%
2026 regular season8 games
Arizona Cardinals
ARI allows
151.5rec yds allowed/game to WRs
12th most (L4: 16th most)8 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
−250
Current
−250
Change
0
Best available moved from −250 to −250. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 79.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 79.5 receiving yards?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 79.5 receiving yards in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.