Chris Brooks
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Upcoming check
Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
The bet: Over 79.5 receiving yards
You checked 79.5, an alternate line. Most books: 77.5.
MIN@GB Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 79.5 in 1 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 9L7 average 56.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 79.5 receiving yards | 58 receiving yards | −106 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
1of7
(14%)
Sep 13 – Nov 9
- 92
- 55
- 32
- 79
- 44
- 33
- 58
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
56.1vs 79.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Justin Jefferson receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 79.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 79.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vsBUF | Miss | 58 |
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 33 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 44 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 79 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 32 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 55 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 92 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Justin Jefferson
- Receiving yards per game
- 56.1
Season · 7 games
Justin Jefferson
JEFFERSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
28.7%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
JEFFERSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
33.8%
2026 regular season7 games
Green Bay Packers
GB allows
155.9rec yds allowed/game to WRs
12th most (L4: 4th most)9 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 79.5 receiving yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
+115
Current
−105
Change
−20
Best available moved from +115 to −105. That pays $19.76 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Packers Hit With Concerning Injury News Before Vikings Game (opens in a new tab)
Before Vikings Game
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Will Kyler Murray play against the Buffalo Bills today? Latest injury update on the Minnesota Vikings veteran quarterback (opens in a new tab)
Will Kyler Murray play against the Buffalo Bills today? Latest injury update on the Minnesota Vikings veteran quarterback Kyler Murray sustained a hamstring injury in the second half of the Minnesota Vikings’ first loss of the 2026 season against the Detroit Lions in Week 8.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Green Bay Packers
Josh Jacobs
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Minnesota Vikings
Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Kyler Murray
doubtful
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 receiving yards?
Justin Jefferson hit over 79.5 receiving yards in 1 of 7 games across the last 7 games (14% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.