Anfernee Jennings
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop NO Settled: Hit
Juwan Johnson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards vs. Falcons
The bet: Over 38.5 receiving yards
You checked 38.5, an alternate line. Most books: 46.5.
ATL@NO Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 38.5 in 3 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 13 to Sep 27L3 average 57.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 38.5 receiving yards won.
Final: 59.
Hit rate vs the line
3of3
(100%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 54
- 66
- 53
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
57.7vs 38.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Juwan Johnson receiving yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 38.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 38.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 53 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 66 |
| Sep 13 | @DET | Hit | 54 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Atlanta Falcons
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
21.4
Points / game
23.6
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 38.5 receiving yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−114
Current
−114
Change
0
Best available moved from −114 to −114. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Carl Granderson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Atlanta Falcons
Cooper Rush
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Ethan Onianwa
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Juwan Johnson Over 38.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Juwan Johnson Over 38.5 receiving yards?
Juwan Johnson hit over 38.5 receiving yards in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Juwan Johnson Over 38.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.