David Njoku
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop HOU Settled: Miss
Nico Collins Over 69.5 Receiving Yards vs. Chargers
The bet: Over 69.5 receiving yards
HOU@LAC Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 69.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L5 average 65.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 69.5 receiving yards lost.
Final: 55.
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 75
- 118
- 56
- 74
- 6
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
65.8vs 69.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Nico Collins receiving yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 69.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 69.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsNYG | Miss | 6 |
| Oct 18 | vsJAX(neutral) | Hit | 74 |
| Oct 11 | @TEN | Miss | 56 |
| Oct 4 | vsDAL | Hit | 118 |
| Sep 13 | vsBUF | Hit | 75 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Houston Texans
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
26.1
Points / game
24
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 season · 8 games
0–8
Record
15.1
Points / game
27.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 69.5 receiving yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+106
Current
+104
Change
−2
Best available moved from +106 to +104. That pays $2.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Inglewood, CA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 88°F0% precipitationGusts 7 mph
Game-day inactives
Los Angeles Chargers
Kayode Awosika
G · Lower Leg ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Kendall Williamson
S · Calf ·
Theo Wease Jr.
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Deane Leonard
CB · Concussion ·
Houston Texans
Febechi Nwaiwu
G · Coach's Decision ·
Braden Smith
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Cade Stover
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Nate Thomas
OT · Coach's Decision ·
David Montgomery
RB · Groin ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- HOU -5.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- Los Angeles Chargers
- +190
- Houston Texans
- −230
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Los Angeles Chargers
- 38%
- Houston Texans
- 62%
Houston Texans by 3.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Chargers
Denzel Perryman
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Houston Texans
Reed Blankenship
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards?
Nico Collins hit over 69.5 receiving yards in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.