CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Pending
Alvin Kamara Under 16.5 Receiving Yards
The bet: Under 16.5 receiving yards
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 18.5.
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 16.5 in 3 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 22.2
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Minnesota Vikings | Under 16.5 receiving yards | -6 receiving yards | −115 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of6
(50%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 7
- 5
- 35
- -6
- 35
- 57
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
22.2vs 16.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara receiving yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Miss | 57 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Miss | 35 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | -6 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Miss | 35 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 7 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Alvin Kamara
- Receiving yards per game
- 22.2
Season · 6 games
Alvin Kamara
KAMARA · TEAM TARGET SHARE
12.8%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
Cleveland Browns
CLE allows
17.5rec yds allowed/game to RBs
1st fewest (L4: 3rd fewest)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, NO
NO 14, CLE 7
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 16.5 receiving yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−114
Current
−110
Change
+4
Best available moved from −114 to −110. That pays $3.19 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- NFL: Charlie Smyth to return as starting New Orleans Saints kicker this weekend (opens in a new tab)
Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints head coach Kellen Moore confirms Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
bbc.co.uk · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Travis Etienne Jr.
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Deshaun Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 16.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 16.5 receiving yards?
Alvin Kamara hit under 16.5 receiving yards in 3 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Alvin Kamara Under 16.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.