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Aaron Jones Over 5.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 5.5 receptions
You checked 5.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
Cleared 5.5 in 0 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 2.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 5.5 receptions | 3 receptions | +700 | miss |
| Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET | Miami Dolphins | Over 5.5 receptions | 4 receptions | +610 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
0of7
(0%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 0
- 0
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 2
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.1vs 5.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Aaron Jones receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 5.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Receptions per game
- 2.1
Season · 7 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM TARGET SHARE
11.6%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
JONES · TARGETS PER GAME
3targets/game
2026 regular season7 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
6.0rec allowed/game to RBs
2nd most (L4: T-7th most)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
+2800
Current
+2700
Change
−100
Best available moved from +2800 to +2700. That pays $100.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
News check is unavailable right now.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 5.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 5.5 receptions?
Aaron Jones hit over 5.5 receptions in 0 of 7 games across the last 7 games (0% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.