NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 Receptions vs. Lions
The bet: Over 3.5 receptions
You checked 3.5, an alternate line. Most books: 4.5.
Cleared 3.5 in 1 of his last 1
Last 1 gameSep 13 to Sep 13L1 average 5.0
Small sample: 1 game.
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Odds and past results
Price as of Sep 17, 8:10 PM ET −157 at BetRivers
Opened −159 at Caesars, closed −157
1 of 1 decided (100%) · last 1 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Dalton Kincaid hit over 3.5 receptions in his last game.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
- Passes thrown his way
- 4.2 per game
- Stored sample 5 games. Season: 5 per game over 7 games (including these 5).
- Average catches
- 3 per game
- Stored sample 5 games; the line is 3.5.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 3.5 receptions won.
Final: 7.
Closing price −157 at BetRivers. Pregame evidence: 1 of 1 decided (100%) · last 1 games.
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetRivers −157 · 33¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Sep 17, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Detroit Lions
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
29
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
Buffalo Bills
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
33.3
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Game results
Fewer than 2 game results are available for this market. Check back after more games are recorded.
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−159
Current
−157
Change
+2
Best available moved from −159 to −157. That pays $0.80 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions at this number?
Dalton Kincaid hit over 3.5 receptions in his last game. Last seen is −157 at BetRivers.
What is the historical hit rate for Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions?
Dalton Kincaid hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of 1 games across the last 1 games.
What is the closing price for Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions?
−157 at BetRivers was the recorded closing price for Dalton Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.