Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BAL Pending
Today's check
Derrick Henry Over 1.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 1.5 receptions
JAX@BAL Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 1.5 in 3 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 1.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET | Atlanta Falcons | Over 1.5 receptions | 1 receptions | +165 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 2
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
1.6vs 1.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Derrick Henry receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @BUF | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 25 | vsCIN | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 18 | @CLE | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 11 | @ATL | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Miss | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Hit | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Derrick Henry
- Receptions per game
- 1.5
Season · 8 games
Derrick Henry
HENRY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
6.2%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX allows
5.3rec allowed/game to RBs
T-7th most (L4: T-12th most)7 games
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
BAL 4, JAX 4
Market movement
Price history
Over 1.5 receptions
Best price
Odds format
Open
−114
Current
+132
Change
+46
Best available moved from −114 to +132. That pays $44.28 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Jacoby Brissett trade: Ravens strike deal for Cardinals QB amid injury crisis (opens in a new tab)
The Ravens have agreed to trade for Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett after injuries devastated Baltimore's quarterback room.
cbssports.com · · Availability report
- Ravens quarterback out for season after tests reveal extent of injury (opens in a new tab)
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Tyler “Snoop” Huntley suffered a season-ending turf toe injury against the Buffalo Bills.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Baltimore Ravens
Jaylinn Hawkins
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DaVon Hamilton
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Eric Murray
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Derrick Henry Over 1.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Derrick Henry Over 1.5 receptions?
Derrick Henry hit over 1.5 receptions in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.