DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DAL Pending
Today's check
The bet: Over 5.5 receptions
You checked 5.5, an alternate line. Most books: 4.5.
Price as of Oct 25, 12:43 PM ET +148 at BetRivers · Updating prices...
Opened +148 at FanDuel, last seen +148
4 of 6 decided (67%) · this season
Verified facts
George Pickens averaged 6 catches across 5 stored games, above the 5.5 line. He had 9.2 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Philadelphia Eagles allowed 13 catches per game to opposing wide receivers combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Over 5.5 receptions | 9 receptions | +188 | hit |
4of6
(67%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
5.5vs 5.5 line
Based on 6 games
George Pickens receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 5.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @GB | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Hit | 9 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Miss | 3 |
Price as of Oct 25, 12:43 PM ET: BetRivers +148
Prices as of Oct 25, 12:43 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
PICKENS · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.7%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
PICKENS · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
33.1%
2026 regular season6 games
PICKENS · TARGETS PER GAME
8.7targets/game
2026 regular season6 games
Open
+148
Current
+148
Change
0
Best available moved from +148 to +148. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Research refreshed
Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
George Pickens hit over 5.5 receptions in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%). Last seen is +148 at BetRivers.
George Pickens hit over 5.5 receptions in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.