CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Pending
Juwan Johnson Over 4.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 4.5 receptions
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 3.5.
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 4.5 in 2 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L7 average 3.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Minnesota Vikings | Over 4.5 receptions | 4 receptions | +145 | miss |
| Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET | Atlanta Falcons | Over 4.5 receptions | 6 receptions | +133 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
2of7
(29%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 3
- 4
- 8
- 6
- 4
- 0
- 1
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
3.7vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Juwan Johnson receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @DET | Miss | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Juwan Johnson
- Receptions per game
- 3.7
Season · 7 games
Juwan Johnson
JOHNSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
14.1%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
Cleveland Browns
CLE allows
5.5rec allowed/game to TEs
T-16th most (L4: 8th fewest)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, NO
NO 14, CLE 7
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+240
Current
+310
Change
+70
Best available moved from +240 to +310. That pays $70.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- NFL: Charlie Smyth to return as starting New Orleans Saints kicker this weekend (opens in a new tab)
Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints head coach Kellen Moore confirms Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
bbc.co.uk · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Deshaun Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Juwan Johnson Over 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Juwan Johnson Over 4.5 receptions?
Juwan Johnson hit over 4.5 receptions in 2 of 7 games across the last 7 games (29% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Juwan Johnson Over 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.