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Kyren Williams Over 6.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 6.5 receptions
You checked 6.5, an alternate line. Most books: 3.5.
Odds and past results
Price as of Oct 29, 11:54 AM ET +1060 at DraftKings · Updating prices...
Opened +800 at FanDuel, last seen +1060
1 of 7 decided (14%) · last 7 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Kyren Williams averaged 5.4 catches across 5 stored games, below the 6.5 line. He had 7.2 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved statistics.
- Passes thrown his way
- 7.2 per game
- Stored sample 5 games. Season: 5.9 per game over 7 games (including these 5).
- Average catches
- 5.4 per game
- Stored sample 5 games; the line is 6.5.
The opponent: Los Angeles Chargers allowed 3.8 catches per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 6.5 receptions | 6 receptions | +1340 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
1of7
(14%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- 3
- 2
- 6
- 10
- 6
- 3
- 2
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.6vs 6.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Kyren Williams receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 6.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Miss | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Miss | 6 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 3 |
Sportsbooks
Price as of Oct 29, 11:54 AM ET: DraftKings +1060
Prices as of Oct 29, 11:54 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Kyren Williams
- Receptions per game
- 4.6
Season · 7 games
Kyren Williams
WILLIAMS · TEAM TARGET SHARE
15.1%of team targets
2026 regular season · 7 games
WILLIAMS · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
4.7%
2026 regular season · 7 games
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC · RECEPTIONS
17.4rec/game
2026 regular season · L5
Market movement
Price history
Open
+800
Current
+1060
Change
+260
Best available moved from +800 to +1060. That pays $260.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
News check is unavailable right now.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kyren Williams Over 6.5 receptions at this number?
Kyren Williams hit over 6.5 receptions in 1 of his last 7 tracked games (14%). Last seen is +1060 at DraftKings.
What is the historical hit rate for Kyren Williams Over 6.5 receptions?
Kyren Williams hit over 6.5 receptions in 1 of 7 games across the last 7 games (14% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.