Aaron Banks
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop GB Settled: Hit
Matthew Golden Over 4.5 Receptions vs. Falcons
The bet: Over 4.5 receptions
ATL@GB Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 receptions won.
Final: 5.
Hit rate vs the line
1of2
Sep 13 – Sep 20
- 6
- 4
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L2 average
5.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 2 games
Game results
Matthew Golden receptions over the last 2 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L2, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 6 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Atlanta Falcons
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
24.4
Points / game
24.7
Allowed / game
Green Bay Packers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+112
Current
+104
Change
−8
Best available moved from +112 to +104. That pays $8.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Green Bay Packers
Anthony Campbell
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Atlanta Falcons
A.J. Terrell Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Cooper Rush
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Golden Over 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Golden Over 4.5 receptions?
Matthew Golden hit over 4.5 receptions in 1 of 2 games across this season (2 games).
What is the closing price for Matthew Golden Over 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.