Andrew Billings
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop ARI Settled: Hit
Michael Wilson Over 2.5 Receptions vs. Lions
The bet: Over 2.5 receptions
You checked 2.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
DET@ARI Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 2.5 receptions won.
Final: 4.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 5
- 2
- 11
- 7
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
6.3vs 2.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Michael Wilson receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 2.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @NYG | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | @SF | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 20 | vsSEA | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 13 | @LAC | Hit | 5 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Detroit Lions
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
30.7
Points / game
27.5
Allowed / game
Arizona Cardinals
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
20.3
Points / game
29.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 2.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−1450
Current
−2000
Change
−550
Best available moved from −1450 to −2000. That pays $1.90 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- New England Patriots Make Move to Sign 7-Year NFL Veteran (opens in a new tab)
adding veteran offensive lineman Matt Pryor off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Arizona Cardinals
Andrew Wingard
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Detroit Lions
Ahmed Hassanein
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Ben Bartch
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Michael Wilson Over 2.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Michael Wilson Over 2.5 receptions?
Michael Wilson hit over 2.5 receptions in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Michael Wilson Over 2.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.